NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x995d70904b9f84450254b58436c989f2ba92c240a3f3a0b935eb784f9ddff2ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 4,290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,768$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.18 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,154$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.54 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 2,060$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 2,020$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 44c | 1,857$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.61 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,752$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,476$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Over | 50c | 1,340$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 55c | 1,286$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.9 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…30e8backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 50c | 996$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 50c | 797$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.5 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…ce8ebacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 51c | 486.68$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.47 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Under | 45c | 417.78$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 45c | 417$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.35 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…eba4backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 66c | 373.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Over | 57c | 362.41$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 320$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 264.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 229.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 28c | 216.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 52c | 193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 187.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 51c | 178.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 162.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Over | 12c | 117.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 111.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7256backed Over | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked Over | 59c | 78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 57c | 76.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 50c | 62.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 51.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 48c | 50.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 46.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 45.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 51c | 30.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 51c | 27.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 26.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 53c | 24.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 20.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…ba2fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…3250backed Over | 56c | 19.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. LakersLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.