NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f2e2d8667772e1132d2856dfa4a441626041c6ff20c7601c3ee43849d0f40e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 24,815$13,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,014.28 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,393$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…4b3cbacked Over | 48c | 9,366$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 6,691$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 52c | 3,805$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.23 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 3,237$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 2,999$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,780$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.35 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…3114backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 1,500$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 1,216$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 49c | 830.5$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.56 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 554$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 48c | 532.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.77 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 48c | 522.23$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.67 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Under | 46c | 391.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.66 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 240$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f268backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 49c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 55.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…00c8backed Under | 67c | 47.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Over | 47c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…ab26backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…7aafbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 48c | 29.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 48c | 27.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 52c | 25.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 51c | 24.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 51c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 53c | 22.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…ab73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…93f9backed Over | 53c | 19.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. LakersLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.