NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e8acd4643ae2250182972c6b7fce2e9a54982b0b2d812341e1931e6ea990c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Lakers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $882,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $882,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Lakers | 49c | 712,027$348,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348,773.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 344,444$175,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,777.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 322,552$165,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,927.55 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 46c | 72,037$33,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,162.27 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 28,003$14,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,161.29 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 24,618$12,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,961.01 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Lakers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 54c | 17,500$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Grizzlies | 54c | 14,300$7,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…4adbbacked Lakers | 0c | 12,720$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…48aebacked Lakers | 49c | 10,858$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 5,324$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.41 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,963$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,721$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.34 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 40c | 2,619$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,565$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.2 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies | 62c | 2,305$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.21 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 2,121$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,999$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.65 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,945$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,746$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,376$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.82 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,207$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.3 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Lakers | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.27 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 51c | 960.06$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.83 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 823.43$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 739.89$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.89 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Lakers | 50c | 600.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Lakers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Lakers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 443.15$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…e7e3backed Lakers | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Lakers | 47c | 331.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Lakers | 49c | 320.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…ff55backed Lakers | 72c | 294.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Grizzlies | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 19c | 200.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Lakers | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…ba63backed Lakers | 42c | 149$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Lakers | 44c | 134.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…91d3backed Lakers | 34c | 131.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…e16dbacked Lakers | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grizzlies | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Lakers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…06eebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 106.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 102.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Grizzlies | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Lakers | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Grizzlies | 57c | 85.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Grizzlies | 53c | 75.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ecfabacked Grizzlies | 53c | 74.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 57c | 69.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Lakers | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Lakers | 47c | 65.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 52c | 61.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 57.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a870backed Grizzlies | 53c | 56.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Grizzlies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…536ebacked Lakers | 49c | 48.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Lakers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Grizzlies | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Grizzlies | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 38.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Lakers | 49c | 37.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…dbbbbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 37.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Lakers | 47c | 36.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Grizzlies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Grizzlies | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lakers | 46c | 32.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Lakers | 48c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…42bdbacked Lakers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…8c92backed Grizzlies | 54c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Lakers | 48c | 27.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…93f9backed Grizzlies | 80c | 14.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. LakersLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.