NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228be7aa5b420743a71a8dfb7274fc6cf4eb8ab53aacd467e8a09cf18b96c603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 50c | 23,974$11,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,055.14 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 51c | 13,365$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,773.77 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Lakers | 60c | 8,287$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 7,000$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 5,539$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,734$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,883$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Grizzlies | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 2,648$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.69 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Grizzlies | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 41c | 2,130$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.9 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 12.9%11 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,779$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,657$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Lakers | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,168$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.2 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,068$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 50c | 1,057$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.05 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 872$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 846.99$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Lakers | 51c | 781.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.2 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Lakers | 52c | 774.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.89 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Lakers | 54c | 749.91$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.04 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Grizzlies | 49c | 719.92$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.76 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 48c | 622.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.83 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 604.89$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 51c | 562.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 558.82$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Grizzlies | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Grizzlies | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 376.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Grizzlies | 59c | 335.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…5a74backed Lakers | 52c | 311.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Grizzlies | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 51c | 231.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Lakers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 50c | 189.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 180.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Lakers | 26c | 179.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 19c | 155.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3beb…77d1backed Lakers | 49c | 118.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 50c | 112.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f268backed Lakers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Lakers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Grizzlies | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 44c | 97.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 49c | 89.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…dedebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Lakers | 51c | 81.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Grizzlies | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 59.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Grizzlies | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 44c | 49.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Lakers | 51c | 40.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…c517backed Lakers | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Lakers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Lakers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…c7bfbacked Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Lakers | 52c | 38.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Lakers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 30.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7af9backed Grizzlies | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Lakers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Lakers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Lakers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Lakers | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Lakers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…e16dbacked Lakers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Grizzlies | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Lakers | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Lakers | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Lakers | 52c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Lakers | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Lakers | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Lakers | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Lakers | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Lakers | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lakers | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Grizzlies won
- Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. LakersLakers won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.