TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x552e…a856

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: College Football, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST4650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$42.99
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Magic (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$50.41
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$56.4
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.6
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+89.2%+$47.15
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Spread: Bucks (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$66
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$63
LoL: DRX vs T1 (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47.03
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+669.2%+$348
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$55.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$216
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$138.25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$118.39
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.3
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30.49
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+104.1%+$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.