NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2650b37dd40fd476c47d936d34dd02cae45f6d078475a197efb46dee1e50c6d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof 76ers, Nuggets
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,270 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets	46c	10,532$4,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,650.86	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed 76ers	56c	5,643$3,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,137	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	45c	5,603$2,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,081.75	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed 76ers	53c	4,856$2,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,573.73	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked 76ers	61c	3,850$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,348.5	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers	52c	3,466$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,802.25	801	46.4%372 W · 429 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets	48c	3,341$1,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,744.76	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers	53c	3,025$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.3	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cd…1e0bbacked 76ers	55c	2,691$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.86	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers	46c	2,532$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166.14	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers	51c	1,655$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.23	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers	47c	1,557$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.57	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	39c	1,513$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.93	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nuggets	41c	1,500$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed 76ers	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked 76ers	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers	50c	984.1$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.95	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets	42c	836$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.06	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	39c	832$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.52	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers	38c	823$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.74	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets	47c	799.99$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.99	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked 76ers	51c	600$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed 76ers	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers	46c	505.5$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.53	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Nuggets	39c	492.31$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.31	213	55.9%119 W · 94 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked 76ers	61c	491.8$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed 76ers	52c	378.6$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.87	232	50.4%117 W · 115 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Nuggets	49c	306.12$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.12	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Nuggets	49c	297$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.47	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers	46c	288.67$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Nuggets	41c	206$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.5	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked 76ers	62c	202.44$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.72	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-12.3wins	-0.15per pick	63cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed 76ers	61c	165$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed 76ers	49c	136$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.64	163	39.3%64 W · 99 L	-10.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Nuggets	51c	136$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.64	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bf…0341backed Nuggets	49c	134$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.34	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets	44c	125$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed 76ers	61c	114$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed 76ers	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed 76ers	52c	111$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	95	60%57 W · 38 L	+10.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nuggets	43c	110.64$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.25	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed 76ers	54c	109$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.86	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked 76ers	60c	106.52$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd0…732cbacked Nuggets	54c	101.92$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.6	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Nuggets	49c	101.02$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.02	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Nuggets	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	367	51.5%189 W · 178 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed 76ers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed 76ers	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed 76ers	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers	59c	92.01$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.28	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Nuggets	49c	91.84$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.84	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed 76ers	52c	88$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets	45c	82.31$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.59	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers	42c	79$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9f…a82fbacked Nuggets	66c	77.28$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed 76ers	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked 76ers	61c	75$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked 76ers	52c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Nuggets	45c	60$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed 76ers	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60aa…0df0backed 76ers	53c	56.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets	40c	54$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed 76ers	61c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Nuggets	49c	49.98$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed Nuggets	40c	49.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.63	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed 76ers	52c	48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers	59c	47.45$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Nuggets	39c	47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Nuggets	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Nuggets	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	225	56.9%128 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Nuggets	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	33	75.8%25 W · 8 L	+7.9wins	+0.24per pick	52cpaid	+48%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed 76ers	39c	40$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked 76ers	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked 76ers	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked 76ers	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a00…0c93backed 76ers	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed 76ers	38c	36.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Nuggets	47c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Nuggets	39c	35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.35	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Nuggets	48c	34$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed 76ers	52c	33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Nuggets	39c	33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Nuggets	39c	33$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6663…af59backed 76ers	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Nuggets	48c	32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nuggets	49c	30.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Nuggets	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	+12.3wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Nuggets	39c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Nuggets	42c	29.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.18	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Nuggets	48c	28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Nuggets	49c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Nuggets	39c	27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.47	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Nuggets	48c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Nuggets	46c	27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked 76ers	51c	26.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	379	49.3%187 W · 192 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: 76ers (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event