NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db4eb43782b86b62e2131f981d595456606289187e9fb82494d59e3ed727197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 53c | 20,795$11,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,072.22 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Over | 51c | 13,200$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,420.09 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 9,629$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 9,208$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…6a02backed Over | 47c | 9,006$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 3,272$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.3 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,681$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Over | 50c | 2,587$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.14 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 2,117$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.39 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…9d67backed Under | 49c | 2,055$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 56c | 1,955$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.69 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 52c | 1,944$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.96 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 50c | 1,538$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,534$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 1,478$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 48c | 1,369$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.75 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 1,262$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.12 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 53c | 1,212$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.84 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 958$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 952$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.05 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 903$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 828$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 742.67$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 700$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 669.12$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 46c | 548$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 450$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 49c | 396.03$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 54c | 351.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 331.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Under | 46c | 293$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 268.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 260$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…8ab2backed Over | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…4e85backed Under | 51c | 208$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…1a90backed Under | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…a69abacked Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 161.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 153.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 52c | 133$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Over | 54c | 129$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 47c | 126.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 117.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 108.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 42c | 92.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Under | 49c | 82.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 72.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 56.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…46eebacked Over | 48c | 47.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…8552backed Over | 67c | 46.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 51c | 46.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…d9f0backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…9467backed Over | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 46c | 27.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5this page
- Jamal Murray: Points Over 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. 76ersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-15.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.