TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c175,329$87,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,269.232,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under50c115,440$57,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,72019754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c53,629$27,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,150.5840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa692…e814backed Over50c17,640$8,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8203100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c14,966$7,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,712.431,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under54c10,293$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,594.3125753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under50c10,279$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.4324053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under51c8,074$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,111.881,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.961637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c7,262$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.51,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…3f6ebacked Over50c6,690$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under50c4,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c3,995$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c3,963$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.2936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over51c3,412$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.7612341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c2,562$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.622,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c2,533$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c2,443$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c2,302$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.0658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over50c2,098$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,044$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over50c1,710$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.9429652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over45c1,606$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.1534654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over52c1,574$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3850754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c1,553$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.964456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Under50c1,548$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77411755.6%65 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over46c1,500$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8051,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c1,498$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.994,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c1,486$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c1,285$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over54c1,065$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.8115756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Over49c1,035$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.693943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c1,010$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.432,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over51c966.06$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.06850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c860$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43050347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under51c777.25$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.450648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c682.25$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c599$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.772,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddba…867fbacked Over51c567.35$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over74c297.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.376453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10218656.5%105 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over51c192.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over55c176.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.312045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over51c154.78$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.448552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c148.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.773,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over44c146.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9239756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under52c140$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.11,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over54c133$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.186953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over54c118$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.289048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2122347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over51c108.42$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4332743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over49c105$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1688845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Under55c101.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.37639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under50c99.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5559653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed Over51c96.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under50c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Over50c88.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x883a…ec40backed Over54c85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d37…a714backed Over50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0417747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5618…be67backed Over50c65.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed Under49c64.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7117031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Over50c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.556953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7513652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Over50c53.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Over51c51.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.635168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa60d…2204backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.025745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc6b…54acbacked Under48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Under48c44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a3…4492backed Over50c40.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick59cpaid+60.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd45c…5c43backed Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over50c39.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6219147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…38b0backed Over50c39.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Over51c39.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.482846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over51c37.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.173655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Over51c37.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4111546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Under48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c35.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.664,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Over50c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc337…c55bbacked Under51c34.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.