TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof 76ers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$665,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$666,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed 76ers49c534,513$261,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,748.8587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets51c450,000$229,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220,5001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed 76ers48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00017031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets52c99,400$51,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,71226253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets52c15,422$7,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,428.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets51c14,793$7,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,248.643,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets51c14,000$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8602,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets52c13,789$7,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.022,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets51c9,980$5,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets53c5,377$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.740041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets55c3,644$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.8548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked 76ers48c2,180$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets51c1,820$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.812,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers40c1,614$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers47c1,352$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers47c1,037$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.491,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed 76ers47c689.36$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32427939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Nuggets51c685.58$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9311060%66 W · 44 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets52c620$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Nuggets54c510.64$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Nuggets53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14110751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…6c61backed Nuggets52c299.47$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.754158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked 76ers47c267$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4940952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed 76ers47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets53c232.8$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.521,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Nuggets54c231.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4849852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nuggets53c226.79$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7957250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets67c206$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nuggets54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers47c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed 76ers48c154$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked 76ers49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets51c152.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.882,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nuggets51c151.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.41,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nuggets51c138.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Nuggets59c119.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.248146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…38b0backed Nuggets53c117.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed 76ers50c113.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5811647.4%55 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked 76ers33c109.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8812727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01f7…8527backed 76ers47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked 76ers12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets54c95.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0221753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed 76ers47c95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.651637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Nuggets54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5917155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Nuggets54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5951651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Nuggets53c89.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.292969%20 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed 76ers47c80.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6538347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Nuggets50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011847.5%56 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets64c77.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets67c74.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0910045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb287…e7acbacked 76ers48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Nuggets54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.217447.7%83 W · 91 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bed…7574backed Nuggets68c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.762263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed 76ers47c66.74$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.378347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Nuggets52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed 76ers47c52.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.542551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked 76ers47c52.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.541354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nuggets52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2468542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Nuggets54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238450%42 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed 76ers49c47.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.434951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Nuggets51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0729…0fa3backed Nuggets62c43.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.637240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked 76ers31c41.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7930616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed 76ers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010646.2%49 W · 57 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01e6…11ecbacked Nuggets72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Nuggets53c35.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8211546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4883…98abbacked Nuggets77c32.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick77cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Nuggets59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.335851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed 76ers49c29.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2916354%88 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nuggets52c29.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Nuggets54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7819940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Nuggets54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7817527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked 76ers47c26.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.368744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9549…b936backed Nuggets77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9724452.5%128 W · 116 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Nuggets54c25.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x399e…27d2backed Nuggets79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31090%9 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick75cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Nuggets53c24.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60e…a171backed Nuggets67c21.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Nuggets53c20.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.562646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa892…c3acbacked Nuggets52c19.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Nuggets54c19.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.096245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.