NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecdd96d54d0393d9e34119001ab85e71b2cc0c86888c634c134ac35c4f3a6cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof 76ers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Nuggets | 42c | 11,316$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.09 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked 76ers | 52c | 10,119$5,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,242.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…5b8abacked 76ers | 48c | 9,800$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…4fa4backed Nuggets | 52c | 9,800$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,208$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 58c | 4,958$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed 76ers | 53c | 3,835$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.83 | 265 | 46%122 W · 143 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed 76ers | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,536$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.22 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,305$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,236$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,215$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.95 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers | 55c | 1,670$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed 76ers | 57c | 1,578$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.32 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed 76ers | 55c | 1,540$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.6 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked 76ers | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.33 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Nuggets | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.5 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 56c | 1,117$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 57c | 1,108$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.59 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 1,010$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Nuggets | 43c | 610$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed 76ers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Nuggets | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nuggets | 43c | 445.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 394.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 43c | 344.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Nuggets | 49c | 261.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 51c | 261.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.29 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 57c | 247.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 47c | 195.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 58c | 174$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 58c | 137$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nuggets | 46c | 128.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Nuggets | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nuggets | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets | 43c | 81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Nuggets | 53c | 75.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Nuggets | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d66ebacked Nuggets | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers | 34c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed 76ers | 34c | 40.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Nuggets | 52c | 39.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers | 50c | 36.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Nuggets | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Nuggets | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0ad7backed Nuggets | 43c | 25.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed 76ers | 47c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-12.5)this page
- Jamal Murray: Points Over 26.5No won
- Nuggets vs. 76ersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-11.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-14.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-15.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.