TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof 76ers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,991
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,991 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers56c94,923$53,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,341.931,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets44c75,555$33,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,310.887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Nuggets51c39,482$20,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,470.8516846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers49c32,350$15,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,924.861,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets43c12,607$5,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,236.093,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets42c6,999$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.134,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets39c6,951$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nuggets42c6,939$2,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.6440041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers61c6,307$3,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.452,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers61c5,729$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.392,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers56c5,000$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.522,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers58c4,526$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.021,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers56c4,464$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers46c4,059$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Nuggets41c3,608$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.9734654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed 76ers54c2,743$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.2325753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets43c2,302$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.1458347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers50c2,061$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.622,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets41c2,008$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.964,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f78…f36dbacked 76ers55c1,633$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ab…d376backed Nuggets45c1,633$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nuggets38c1,500$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9251,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Nuggets63c1,270$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.846943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Nuggets34c1,250$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82517941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets43c1,000$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.332,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed 76ers39c940.33$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.1421642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Nuggets37c768.83$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5911361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Nuggets39c710.64$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.495558.2%32 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets44c609.72$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed 76ers43c576.57$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb5…88b5backed Nuggets37c555$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets41c500$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Nuggets41c454$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8616539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf416…eca5backed Nuggets46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets43c382.54$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.941,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Nuggets44c341$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Nuggets63c334$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0416045%72 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked 76ers56c333.93$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1874748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets41c304.59$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.832,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Nuggets44c302.19$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.439756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Nuggets48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15517349.1%85 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Nuggets36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.788041.3%33 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed 76ers64c273.69$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17518256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed 76ers66c271.06$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.96656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers44c234.8$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.151,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Nuggets38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12462539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Nuggets50c198.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.836751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed 76ers65c181$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.657648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers60c164.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked 76ers14c158.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9412727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Nuggets34c152$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3210735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5912…2fe0backed 76ers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Nuggets37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1415959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x853d…81f9backed Nuggets37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.141136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed 76ers65c125$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.257448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers54c109.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Nuggets46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711041.8%46 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets41c102.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.352,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Nuggets37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6362848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked 76ers32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3243246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 76ers51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.661,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed 76ers55c96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.87247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Nuggets43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0238350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nuggets43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0257250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e42…8f95backed Nuggets43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.025628.6%16 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed 76ers55c92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.68552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed 76ers55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f5…4252backed 76ers57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed 76ers61c83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.357753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ed…a870backed Nuggets43c77.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.065641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Nuggets44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8166143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed 76ers55c71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.056952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Nuggets37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2228943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Nuggets55c68.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.577150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed 76ers65c57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0510143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed 76ers55c56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.85455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a80…3753backed Nuggets37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.051216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers49c53.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Nuggets43c53.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3234342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd9b…d8afbacked Nuggets43c47.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.042360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Nuggets43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5136247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers49c45.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x527d…f227backed Nuggets36c44.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers60c41.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe80…dad1backed Nuggets38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+158.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Nuggets36c38.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8954854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Nuggets45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Nuggets35c37.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.656451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Nuggets45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Nuggets45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.83554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1acd…8c92backed 76ers52c35.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b99…c42bbacked Nuggets45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Nuggets45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333330.3%10 W · 23 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-46.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Nuggets45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Nuggets45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed 76ers58c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.566349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Nuggets48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2517345.1%78 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.