Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaba55442a17a201a46f7ac19fd9394364f04959cdebfa420bc0c5ab2da00f59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof ThunderTalk Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 36,106$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,485.78 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 30,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 18,888$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.08 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 14,688$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 12,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 5,925$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 5,677$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.83 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 5,555$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…28f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 5,537$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 3,356$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.56 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 2,578$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,340$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,300$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,202$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,110$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 31.8%50 W · 107 L | -15.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…98d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 1,020$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 998.18$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 967.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 859.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…ca98backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 698.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 683.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…57cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 656.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 650$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2226…de06backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 16.3%58 W · 297 L | -25.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 547$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 516$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…b047backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 302.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…897ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…0bdebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 273.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 235.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…8a36backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…fd03backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 220$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…95bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 186.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…3427backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 222 | 34.7%77 W · 145 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267f…da88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 172.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 19.3%42 W · 176 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 149.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 149.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…22fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 101.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 101.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…6157backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…47bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…3691backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 79.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 59.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 21.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancethis page
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.