Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6d4f714e1be97bfd2a112c13ced647780bd0829b3e545910c1091757b18c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof ThunderTalk Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 14,207$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.44 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 7,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 2,527$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.9 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 2,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 2,178$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 2,175$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 1,999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 1,741$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.08 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…18bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 1,551$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 1,494$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 1,336$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.38 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 1,100$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.99 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 888.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 831.49$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 808.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 800.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…57d6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…ca98backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fed5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 742$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 707.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 660.12$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…0dcbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc19…0650backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 649.98$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 69c | 602.35$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 587.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 521.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 435.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 420.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 416.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 406.32$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 399$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…5561backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 389.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 350.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 321.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 205.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 204.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…754bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 71c | 152.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…a96ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 135.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 130.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5c08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 119.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 111.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…abadbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 107.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 103.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 103.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 94.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 84.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 31.2%108 W · 238 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 79.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…8af0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…7d58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 66.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 62.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…a600backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…a314backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 32.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4361…67e1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…c4f2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 14.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 14.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.