TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8672…a96e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 49 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Weather at 49 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.56
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$213.37
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.18
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.96
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$449.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$274.77
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$40.44
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37.2%+$36.77
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$209.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$160
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$171.53
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$98
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$77.81
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.64
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+188.3%+$188.29
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+300%+$169.35
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+150%+$149.81
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$264.64
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.15
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590.29
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.