Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a322ff316a01b9111a625b91f1be7a67cdb9bccef0f68da29c4addf50038bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Hanwha Life Esports, Nongshim Red Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Nongshim Red Force | 37c | 3,217$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.31 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Nongshim Red Force | 36c | 1,545$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.19 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Hanwha Life Esports | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Nongshim Red Force | 39c | 594.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 62c | 486.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…a96ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 413.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…05adbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 60c | 167.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ac…6ac9backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 140.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Hanwha Life Esports | 60c | 99.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 50.2%112 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nongshim Red Force | 41c | 59.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Hanwha Life Esports | 65c | 35.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Hanwha Life Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.