Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbea6c3471ea8b215444d67f846b854e3521052ca81c5da54e28c67b75e2b4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof ThunderTalk Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 9,766$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.38 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 3,422$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 2,413$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.45 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,897$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.25 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…18bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 1,608$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,300$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 1,299$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 1,192$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 990$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 817.31$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 799.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 704.85$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 690.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…eebdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 650$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…5133backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…f598backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 649.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 649.96$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 600$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 504.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 495.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 428.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 349$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 335.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 291.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 290.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 270$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 266.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 261.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 255.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 205$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 194.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1094backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 194.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 206 | 21.8%45 W · 161 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…fe9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 181.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8672…a96ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 175.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 160.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 135.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 394 | 51%201 W · 193 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…ffe5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 26c | 75.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 543 | 43.6%237 W · 306 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 62.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…907bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…a314backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 48.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 45.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…96a6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…19bebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 255 | 60.4%154 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…9bdfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.