TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd711…bbcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.2%+$139
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$463.74
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.7%+$201.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+135.5%+$1,841.41
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.9%+$120.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$297
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$157.12
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31%+$189.4
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$111
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+60.9%+$416.36
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+62.1%+$306.38
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100.1%+$700.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$375.04
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$350.25
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.1%+$238.83
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$112.08
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.7%+$103
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$514.66
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$392.94
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+43%+$120.34
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$143.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.16
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$192.02
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$25
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$116.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Renata Zarazua vs Hailey Baptistebacked Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.9%+$53.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.