Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55dd04a003e05fb93fdaa2180ae14c0453bd04dd25a3fd9e80b1979aee1e1a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 15,491$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 76c | 7,500$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 2,092$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.65 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 1,852$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…bbccbacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 32c | 247.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 67c | 236.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Under | 76c | 197.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 31c | 188.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 86.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 29c | 50.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 67c | 45.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 42c | 40.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Over | 42c | 34.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked Over | 42c | 26.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.