Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c6186f1d35128f4246e9003ef570dbcaf82f39845b2c41915e035deff14c602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 19,411$10,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,835.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 13,723$6,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,982.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked No | 49c | 1,435$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed Yes | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 42c | 655$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Yes | 50c | 502.27$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 480$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 46c | 382.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 205$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 32c | 153.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…3b30backed Yes | 15c | 143.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 45c | 136.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…06d4backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 83.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e1…5612backed Yes | 48c | 72.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 45c | 65.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 69c | 56.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…008dbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 47c | 43.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 41c | 25.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 24.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 58c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.