TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c48,032$25,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,914.693930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under46c23,000$10,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,42027750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c10,529$6,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.086,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over29c3,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c2,591$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.8639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c2,566$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over43c1,834$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.764938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c1,713$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.512,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over55c1,515$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Over54c1,482$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c658.86$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.224,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.311346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Over54c581.48$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3143537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…316ebacked Over54c553.7$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under47c523$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1914456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c515.41$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.852,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005036%18 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under45c359.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1932357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under45c359.97$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c351.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8937958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under45c319.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3925553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over53c275.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1465438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over54c255.56$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf085…5696backed Over42c235.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.062240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under60c235.54$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.341,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over54c223.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.471827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over55c222.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.228643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Over50c220.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under45c217.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c211.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2735652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under45c199.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9925560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under45c199.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9927758.8%163 W · 114 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.237554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over53c160.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8517745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.34233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over53c137.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8611846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under47c135.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.011442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Over54c134.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.047042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over24c128.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c125.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c121.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6940841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.826158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.832255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.835056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.826058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c120$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over24c117.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under65c107.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.185650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5429657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…8d1cbacked Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c92.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0128255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over55c91.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c83.92$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over43c81.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under49c81.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0358445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c80.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.131,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.227661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Under73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c79.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c76.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4232755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.826959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under48c62.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.944136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over61c62.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9819853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under54c60.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.428458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.423658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425858.1%150 W · 108 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425558.8%150 W · 105 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.427354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.428359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.422858.8%134 W · 94 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.