TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c51,664$8,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,384.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…d406backed Under0c15,016$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under78c7,049$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,530.112268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under58c3,451$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under50c1,499$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.71844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over18c1,275$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.7714142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over18c976.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.625538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over44c695.83$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.144139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over20c500$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.523571.4%25 W · 10 L+9.1wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+65.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under44c475.35$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3511144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over42c425.12$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Under46c361.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.324131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Over58c352.09$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under42c340.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.391675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over16c328.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.924242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over17c325$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.7228931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over21c318.07$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2811529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Under61c246$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.062070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ee…f7a7backed Under76c239.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under48c229.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.336852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over18c210$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.22020%4 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under5c203.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.427412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024062.5%25 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Under49c185$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.793129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under54c183.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under39c180.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over23c175$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over23c168.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2115045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Under76c166.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.282450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over19c153.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9519436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under51c153.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.15255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd711…bbccbacked Under76c152.94$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under34c151.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.812737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over17c148.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6338744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under49c138.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.583638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba97…e8d4backed Under28c127.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under46c121.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over16c119.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1836630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over43c117.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.211460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Over48c107.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over39c104.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea0…8f49backed Over74c104.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.361580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8a9…22c4backed Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.485078%39 W · 11 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bb9…84babacked Over55c93.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under50c90.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Over58c86.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.251136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over17c85.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.897847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8291backed Under50c83.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over62c81.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1621650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Under64c74.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over73c70$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over18c69.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.35131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under52c68.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.853531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over51c68.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8615238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed Under48c66.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Over45c65.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.947450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9236…da58backed Under16c62.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under77c58.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.123246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over39c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3217538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b00…cfbdbacked Over39c49.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Over51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed Under50c43.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.941154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Over28c40.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d23…383bbacked Over74c40.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2511772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over76c37.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.031752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over80c36.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.521758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked Under52c35.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a67…0355backed Under48c32.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4714351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f84…0458backed Under57c30.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5618…be67backed Under52c28.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Under50c24.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Under51c20.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b9…659ebacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104045%18 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under80c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.