Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bdcb4b38b9e34595656fff572e1125ca3d8f85bd5b584ac00a2e29dfb76a3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 6,267$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.92 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 45c | 4,966$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 4,726$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 42c | 3,660$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.4 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed No | 55c | 1,045$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 993.69$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.35 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 49c | 663.35$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.04 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 42c | 633$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 629.2$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.86 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 45c | 488.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 44c | 309.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 45c | 263$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Yes | 43c | 220$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 41c | 201.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 54c | 152.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed No | 55c | 144.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 137.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed No | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 42c | 119.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 61c | 99.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 42c | 98.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 59c | 97.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 96.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 59c | 91.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed No | 44c | 82.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…efa7backed Yes | 40c | 79.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 71.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes | 48c | 70.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 68.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 37c | 57.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed No | 62c | 56.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…d436backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 34.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 44c | 31.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 40c | 30.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed No | 52c | 30.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed No | 60c | 28.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…1bc4backed Yes | 42c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 57c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0b…a307backed No | 59c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.