TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe513…3328

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+27.4%+$23.15
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.26
ASB Classic: Eliot Spizzirri vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$76.66
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovicbacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$111.84
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$95.5
ASB Classic: Alejandro Tabilo vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$28.65
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$20.14
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+130.6%+$65.04
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmohbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+52.2%+$36
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$58.86
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+54.1%+$37.89
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+57.4%+$19.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$38.74
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$37.13
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$41.28
Will SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.35
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+61.8%+$21.64
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.52
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$157.34
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-76.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Stoke City FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54.23
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$114.91
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71.54
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$11.46
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.76
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$122.23
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$29.26
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.81
Will SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$119.07
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$40.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.89
Cameroon vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$28.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56.26
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.2%+$24.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$59.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.