TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Danilovicof Stearns, Danilovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,055 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae90…f6c8backed Danilovic63c15,457$9,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.126937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Stearns35c9,275$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.751,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stearns24c9,256$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.748,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stearns30c6,891$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.642,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Danilovic78c6,297$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.7814766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Danilovic55c5,464$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.1935247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Stearns56c5,172$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.0112752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Stearns8c5,128$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0519134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Stearns40c5,116$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Danilovic57c4,387$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.4759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stearns39c4,098$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.2611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Danilovic59c3,433$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.825349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Danilovic71c2,780$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.337,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Stearns12c2,778$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Stearns48c2,301$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.442343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Stearns30c2,239$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.5711123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Danilovic57c2,065$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.695851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stearns24c1,933$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.482,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Stearns22c1,635$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Danilovic74c1,561$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.962,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Stearns49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Stearns25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Danilovic55c1,186$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.711,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Stearns38c1,164$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.081,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Danilovic50c1,160$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.993531.4%11 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a0…6906backed Stearns9c1,140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Stearns43c1,057$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9630339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x721e…7811backed Stearns68c1,049$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Stearns37c1,001$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.566432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Stearns8c1,000$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.37258%2 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Danilovic74c928.93$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.511,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Danilovic46c920$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.624340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Stearns33c903.87$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8227131.4%85 W · 186 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849a…44aabacked Stearns48c879.99$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Danilovic69c826.78$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.62356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Stearns8c793.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Stearns49c715.76$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.728148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Stearns44c687.09$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.61,15144.4%511 W · 640 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Danilovic57c651.69$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9475046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stearns30c641.01$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.551,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Stearns34c573.08$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.422,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Stearns43c540.05$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.487057.1%40 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Stearns47c530.31$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9421843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed Stearns45c420.13$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Stearns33c391.6$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.113834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Danilovic41c377.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1422744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Danilovic58c347.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1942358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Stearns45c330$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Stearns38c318.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Stearns43c309.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Danilovic51c308.65$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2428952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Danilovic64c301.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Stearns53c283.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Danilovic53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0236038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Stearns30c268.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2124826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Stearns24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Stearns37c226.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5327627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf155…76bdbacked Danilovic57c219.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Danilovic57c219.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.369350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Stearns18c203.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.816150.3%81 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Stearns24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4849632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed Stearns9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Danilovic46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1095527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Danilovic76c194$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5629454.8%161 W · 133 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Danilovic53c181.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6513850.7%70 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Stearns64c174.94$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.841573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Danilovic58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Danilovic58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4119052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Danilovic57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.159348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Danilovic60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stearns28c162.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.861,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Stearns45c159.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7421949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Stearns39c155.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.683240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Stearns41c151.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.773351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Stearns26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Danilovic64c106.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.812,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b36…944abacked Danilovic36c102.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+91.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Danilovic66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3425743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fb…4444backed Stearns25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Stearns35c84.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.684055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked Stearns46c84.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.932157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Stearns23c84.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-84.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Danilovic62c78.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.996259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stearns41c77.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Danilovic60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3049955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Danilovic66c74.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.36855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbac…435fbacked Stearns28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Stearns42c67.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4925237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Danilovic46c63.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4449749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d21…b038backed Stearns32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11a…a04ebacked Stearns19c62.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Danilovic55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.556432.8%21 W · 43 L-8.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Stearns30c57.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.368645.3%39 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…259dbacked Danilovic55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Danilovic56c51.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7912451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ace…b219backed Danilovic58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7212463.7%79 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc995…3053backed Stearns51c48.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Danilovic61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9818659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Stearns49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd322…7ec0backed Stearns40c40.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.