Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x758ace5149ddaad890bcd7d4ce92e3941912ae287f24b4793c80adfe01334f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 44c | 34,372$15,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,016.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 28,520$19,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 46c | 16,946$7,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,757.98 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 55c | 9,000$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 46c | 8,343$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.32 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 7,591$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.99 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.97 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 56c | 5,976$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.28 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 53c | 5,500$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 5,426$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.58 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 5,280$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.12 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 5,250$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.79 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.98 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 34c | 3,984$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 45c | 3,711$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 3,477$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.49 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 47c | 3,300$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 58c | 2,755$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.01 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 2,642$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.16 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 57c | 2,216$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.81 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 45c | 1,916$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.23 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,806$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.07 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 14c | 1,731$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 46c | 1,657$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.06 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 59c | 1,437$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 1,135$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.55 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 37c | 1,100$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 1,061$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.73 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 54c | 995.85$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.2 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 27c | 929.61$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 926.86$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.24 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 44c | 899.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 859.05$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…dc0cbacked Yes | 48c | 856.25$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 754.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 750$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 55c | 685.45$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 58c | 650$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 49c | 617.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 55c | 588.92$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 75c | 565.21$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 73c | 552.47$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 42c | 550.55$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.23 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 528.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 26c | 523.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 54c | 500.02$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 48c | 499.99$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 16c | 494.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed No | 20c | 488.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 57c | 466.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 43c | 449.48$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 15c | 437.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 55c | 410$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 15c | 399.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 395.03$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 45c | 312.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 44c | 305.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 54c | 296$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 11c | 291.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 36c | 277.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 266.06$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed No | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 56c | 259.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 16c | 258.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 56c | 250.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes | 56c | 220$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d21…b038backed Yes | 80c | 218.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…899bbacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.