Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f54e1553bf028d01bd07d25a109cc46376d989c3c39a45333a70aacfc604bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 17c | 26,098$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 20c | 14,599$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.88 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 80c | 8,893$7,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 80c | 7,658$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.6 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 6,279$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.32 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 80c | 5,043$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.51 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 3,328$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.88 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 22c | 2,666$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 80c | 2,664$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.51 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 2,479$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.61 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 79c | 2,147$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.83 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,473$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 21c | 1,430$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 80c | 1,366$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 21c | 1,054$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 2c | 981.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 845.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.41 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…d3adbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 20c | 593$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 79c | 554.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 6c | 516.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 18c | 497.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 21c | 476.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Yes | 17c | 461.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 3c | 434.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 4c | 399.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 18c | 355.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 22c | 347.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 22c | 342.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Yes | 5c | 323.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 80c | 305$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…8f6bbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 12c | 299.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…42f5backed Yes | 22c | 244.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 22c | 233$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…ad9abacked Yes | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 222.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 7c | 197.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 16c | 197.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 189.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 19c | 133.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 19c | 124.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 20c | 122.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 21c | 114.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 19c | 107.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 79c | 94.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Yes | 17c | 92.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 91.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…7ec0backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…008cbacked Yes | 23c | 66.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 21c | 63.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed Yes | 20c | 56.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed No | 79c | 51.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…a325backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed No | 79c | 48.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…b157backed No | 79c | 21.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.