Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e050204cb1fb0101996d03191c99703cb4c70d13682a1bb6e3ab60d5f37f29e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 75c | 7,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 74c | 3,070$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 2,866$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.07 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 75c | 2,253$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,847$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.26 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 1,722$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.81 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,566$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,394$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.47 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,017$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 1,012$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 1,000$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 75c | 987.5$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 28c | 833.32$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…d3adbacked Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 74c | 626.31$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.84 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes | 26c | 553.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 19c | 463.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 26c | 369.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 26c | 369.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 14c | 368.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Yes | 17c | 294.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 25c | 267$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 255.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 206$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 19c | 201.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 25c | 200.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 74c | 199.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Yes | 9c | 198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 74c | 192.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 185.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Yes | 27c | 168.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 12c | 167.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 75c | 155.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 74c | 154.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 154$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6214…db12backed Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…2917backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 147.22$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 75c | 141.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 22c | 134.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 26c | 133.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 23c | 132.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 129.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 126.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 123.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…b824backed Yes | 26c | 116$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 17c | 110.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…e87fbacked Yes | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 70c | 99.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 99.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 77c | 79.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 20c | 77.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b9…215cbacked Yes | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 26c | 71.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 68.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 54.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 75c | 50.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 26c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 26c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 75c | 42.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked No | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 74c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 75c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.