Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a95cd7668658d746e5ec665995b2f3b913184c81563ac960791f674bec48fee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 56c | 938.19$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 793.13$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 375.55$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 48c | 289.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 175.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 71c | 147.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed No | 48c | 112.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 56c | 94.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 29c | 68.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…3328backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked No | 47c | 64.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…0b18backed Yes | 57c | 55.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 65c | 47.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…ebb8backed Yes | 79c | 46.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked No | 39c | 46.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 48c | 37.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 55c | 36.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 59c | 29.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.