Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee34e94ffe68b918fd4dc30f026659253186c07f6ff87cf3a8b56383fa3012ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 1,490$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 648.97$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 25c | 408.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 12c | 378$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 15c | 293.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 275.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Under | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 75c | 210.69$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…405fbacked Over | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Under | 27c | 150.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Over | 77c | 135.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 77c | 104.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…3f01backed Over | 77c | 101.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…3163backed Over | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed Over | 76c | 95.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 72c | 82.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Under | 26c | 80.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1596backed Over | 77c | 63.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Over | 78c | 26.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 76c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.