TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c50…ab35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.52
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.22
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.61
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39.2%+$7.85
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.67
Will Udinese vs. Verona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.18
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.46
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.72
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+101.9%+$276.31
Pistons vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$216.6
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+37%+$72.08
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$27.32
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.51
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.29
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.4%+$5.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.