Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf680f72b225699c71dc3a0823f3ff0759b567b90a9ad10baa46086373dcd4f8

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2129…4222backed Under	52c	4,529$2,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,195.04	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	61c	4,076$2,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.71	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over	56c	2,620$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,474.36	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over	49c	1,659$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.13	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	59c	1,257$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.23	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	59c	1,064$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.35	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	62c	950$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…71b6backed Over	41c	614.63$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	42c	601.2$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	41c	519.51$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	60c	501.65$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.66	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Over	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over	40c	499.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over	40c	494.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Over	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	110	52.7%58 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	59c	452.05$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.58	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb95f…c250backed Over	40c	425$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	40c	350$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	346	28.6%99 W · 247 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd22…eaadbacked Over	41c	301.97$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.82	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	282.18$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.87	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	41c	246.34$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over	41c	245$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Over	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	59c	211.67$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.79	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed Under	50c	210$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.35	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.31per pick	59cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59ca…fd12backed Over	41c	207.3$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.81	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f7…23a3backed Over	41c	195.3$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.07	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c1…3ac2backed Over	41c	191.02$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	40c	166.65$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Under	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Under	59c	149.99$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.5	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Over	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a5…3d98backed Over	40c	116.46$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2200…0d19backed Over	40c	116.46$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under	58c	107.22$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	201	50.2%101 W · 100 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Under	53c	106.38$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over	57c	103.35$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.84	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over	41c	100.56$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.23	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	99	61.6%61 W · 38 L	+13.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Under	60c	78.33$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52bf…baecbacked Over	41c	75.32$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over	42c	68.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c28…78c8backed Under	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Over	65c	66.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fa2…2da1backed Over	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Over	39c	60.01$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.38	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Over	43c	52.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c50…ab35backed Over	41c	51.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Under	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcb…53b4backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…d772backed Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e98…c16cbacked Over	43c	46.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…f58ebacked Under	60c	46.67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.67	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Over	40c	42.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	217	47.9%104 W · 113 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf17…9c04backed Over	55c	39.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over	40c	33.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe94…bb87backed Over	41c	31.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…e313backed Over	41c	31.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	105	52.4%55 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	271	41.7%113 W · 158 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d6…851dbacked Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba7…8d2ebacked Over	41c	29.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1d…bb61backed Over	41c	29.12$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	58cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa95c…dcd3backed Over	42c	27.31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x776b…d315backed Under	50c	27.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over	39c	25.93$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.11	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff1…635fbacked Over	54c	25.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x844b…2580backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f1…1bdfbacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…54acbacked Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: O/U 2.5this page
Spread: Everton (-0.5)Sunderland AFC won
Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event