Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Everton (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ad80ca7827a93c4bce7f2b6cbeb4244f57ff3d2d9edcf7bad7f7898d8acd49c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunderland AFCof Everton, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton | 39c | 14,478$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sunderland AFC | 60c | 7,497$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.92 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Sunderland AFC | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Everton | 37c | 1,545$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.3 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sunderland AFC | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 770.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 450.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sunderland AFC | 62c | 427.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.37 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…1e95backed Sunderland AFC | 66c | 377.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked Sunderland AFC | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Everton | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Sunderland AFC | 64c | 146.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ee…5800backed Everton | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…75a6backed Everton | 37c | 134.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Everton | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Sunderland AFC | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Everton | 21c | 93.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Sunderland AFC | 66c | 92.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Sunderland AFC | 56c | 82.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…2f6dbacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 76.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…96bdbacked Sunderland AFC | 66c | 75.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Sunderland AFC | 63c | 73.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 61.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Sunderland AFC | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Everton | 34c | 56.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Sunderland AFC | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Sunderland AFC | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Sunderland AFC | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 38.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…f87dbacked Sunderland AFC | 67c | 34.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Sunderland AFC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Sunderland AFC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Sunderland AFC | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Sunderland AFC | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…ec0ebacked Sunderland AFC | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…f7f7backed Sunderland AFC | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…66b0backed Sunderland AFC | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…ab21backed Sunderland AFC | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Everton (-0.5)this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.