TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5751…cb3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.8
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$72.41
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$71.1
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.03
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.59
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.92
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$80.86
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.44
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$49.04
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.55
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$52.1
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$63.04
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.45
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$141.01
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$61.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$461.64
Spread: Everton (-0.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+52.5%+$31.81
Will Everton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.76
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.23
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+300%+$51
Will Chelsea vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$40.59
Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$30.52
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$31.4
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$91.51
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$79.87
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,485.04
Will Union St. Gilloise vs. Newcastle United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$271.04
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$56.27
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$94.54
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$110.45
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$47.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96.98
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$145.61
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$235.13
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$47.89
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$82.33
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.93
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$30.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$349.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.