Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273b51028d62b7b09cef2f23e627eaf18772b27799608dbffb60606881d5bc7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6384…3c83backed No | 80c | 833.68$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 20c | 505.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 79c | 389.29$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 21c | 375.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 269.35$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 33c | 250.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 250.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 219.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 51c | 121.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 17c | 111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…8e2ebacked Yes | 25c | 105.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 74c | 66.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes | 40c | 65.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 20c | 64.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked No | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0a2dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.