Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519fd5fc41d1ff3f218fbae6f832ac49773b32c8d30788ca8ac81d5a2713ddb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 495.42$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 468$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 400.71$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 300.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.87 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…41d3backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +231%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 61c | 204$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 25c | 120.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…cb3abacked Yes | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…58c9backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…1f96backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…8e2ebacked Yes | 69c | 72.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…8328backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 77c | 17.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-04?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.