TailMyPicks
Market

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes58c17,500$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,079.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c12,258$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,957.037,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No58c9,424$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.6646454.3%252 W · 212 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No43c8,122$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.348344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes26c4,730$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c4,486$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.555,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes57c3,495$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes62c2,245$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.651,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No43c2,188$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Yes61c1,655$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…280dbacked No39c1,653$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc429…138dbacked Yes57c1,560$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes49c1,250$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Yes56c1,091$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.994940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No41c865.47$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.083040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x968a…6842backed Yes59c846.29$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Yes59c779.19$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4631631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf47…326fbacked Yes20c757.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-83.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Yes62c745.04$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.79757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes14c722.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed No41c612.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3542846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No60c578.66$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.464949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes62c576$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.122759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes14c444$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.385217.3%9 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No42c425.26$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.61844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1777341.1%30 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes18c291$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3813347.4%63 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes62c280.45$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.881711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-72.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c268.45$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1485340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012530.4%38 W · 87 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No41c249.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Yes56c249.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6170…41d3backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+231%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x237f…d0edbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e09…14cdbacked No40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127945.6%36 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4baf…305fbacked Yes30c198.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No37c170$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.117447.7%83 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fb…41efbacked Yes58c165.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes38c159.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes64c156.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.421060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61b…1f96backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes56c122.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.732536%9 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No75c113.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.413948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647334.2%25 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked No38c105.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.692339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes57c102.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.466136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689d…9b52backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2136…085ebacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…df2abacked Yes59c84.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd7b…71bfbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x670c…d5fabacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844a…ba1abacked Yes60c69.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe363…be8bbacked Yes62c69.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa63b…2a30backed Yes59c68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…f468backed Yes60c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No40c65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3917141.5%71 W · 100 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe8…e7e1backed Yes36c62.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb182…005fbacked Yes28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda7f…7313backed Yes58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No41c48.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.661070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa131…aea2backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No39c34.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2129425.9%76 W · 218 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-74.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee99…b0aebacked No41c33.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes60c33.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3a…d4d5backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…3c95backed Yes37c32.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f4…9e2fbacked Yes61c29.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…a297backed Yes57c28.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes57c25.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x970f…eb68backed Yes60c19.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.