TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x670c…d5fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$4,400
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$335.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$30.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+134.1%+$67.06
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26.7
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Ulsan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Juventus beat Al Ain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.42
Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+171.1%+$104.39
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$21.31
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$14.38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$16.91
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$37.29
Will Southampton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$46.75
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$97.64
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.22
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.14
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+40.8%+$5.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Sinner vs. Medvedevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2024, EDT+37%+$14.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+34%+$6.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.