TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cd…0273backed Yes46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9005448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…1fcbbacked Yes0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1450%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No53c13,941$7,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,596.1317852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No54c10,138$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.476058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No54c9,938$5,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.8418758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No54c8,130$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.5217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes48c4,591$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.9623942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No55c3,711$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.277342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No57c3,432$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.729159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No58c3,299$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.1430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes42c3,120$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.738638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No55c2,746$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.8412147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No54c2,600$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19618160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes47c2,560$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes46c2,240$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.410931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1ef…b4d9backed Yes39c2,030$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed No48c2,000$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.031656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Yes51c2,000$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.542740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c0…21febacked Yes47c1,685$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.422128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3013…e276backed No50c1,524$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes46c1,491$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c1,364$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes42c1,339$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56026443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c1,302$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.0938935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed No54c1,161$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.954233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed No54c1,019$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56de…b31ebacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607548%36 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No65c982$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.84245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36819755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c09…fe6cbacked Yes53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe456…ad4fbacked Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c484.6$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…05b2backed Yes27c441.05$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206229%18 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes11c421.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.957625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No52c412.83$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.638356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.925450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No52c399.97$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9934449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a2…e37cbacked Yes46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Yes47c382.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d57…a418backed Yes10c330$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacaf…abaabacked Yes50c319.11$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes49c271$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7324047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…565fbacked Yes46c270.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes37c262.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.110850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes48c262.14$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8312862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdabf…2becbacked Yes40c260$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No65c256.77$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.873250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes37c256$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4612848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c238.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5430657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No64c229.19$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.834647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No59c207.59$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6210736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…ae19backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes53c195$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.352231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No64c186.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6316036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f2d…ebb1backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824231%13 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Yes47c176.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+270.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed No50c171.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.965343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x715c…a010backed Yes53c165$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…5e81backed Yes53c165$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff5b…8c08backed Yes53c165$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Yes47c159$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.731741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes48c127.92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…40f0backed Yes47c119.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No52c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5628357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x670c…d5fabacked Yes49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f95…8afcbacked Yes47c109.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes46c108.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.998353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe388…c8acbacked Yes45c108.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes46c103.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes46c103.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.742433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2722…7e87backed Yes34c101$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.341020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483548.6%17 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+363.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.998240.2%33 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…330abacked Yes40c99.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x650b…4f90backed Yes46c97.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes46c85.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.321963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf72…aea6backed Yes53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad93…5ecdbacked Yes44c79.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Yes47c75.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.422951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.18652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.94242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes47c67.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes45c67.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.