Champions League · resolved market
Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x315fc6febd655422da98976eecbf14733986b76ab71747b562d1bebfa711ff45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed No | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 25c | 11,614$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.58 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked No | 76c | 10,236$7,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 5,052$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.81 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 4,100$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 19c | 3,980$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.2 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 26c | 3,768$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 71c | 2,984$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.25 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 75c | 2,737$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 31c | 2,306$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.15 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 21c | 1,461$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,320$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.41 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 1,306$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,141$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 27c | 1,010$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 28c | 862.25$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 29c | 764.35$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 749$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 74c | 536.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 26c | 536.01$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 24c | 441.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…a418backed Yes | 10c | 331$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 326.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 75c | 274.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 73c | 243.15$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 238$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 26c | 230.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 26c | 212.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 27c | 192$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked No | 75c | 161.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 77c | 126.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 16c | 125.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 26c | 124.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…0f48backed Yes | 24c | 117.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 92.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 74c | 88.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 31c | 79.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…50ddbacked Yes | 26c | 77.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Yes | 30c | 60.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Yes | 32c | 57.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 23c | 55.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked Yes | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…004bbacked No | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…983abacked Yes | 30c | 32.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…9ce0backed No | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…e5c1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 77c | 17.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense?this page
- Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?No won
- Will Mamelodi vs. Fluminense end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.