TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$684,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$726,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No35c421,209$146,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,678.743522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes65c122,826$79,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,989.228241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes65c107,199$70,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,159.495360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes66c69,999$46,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,852.089146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes65c40,990$26,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,346.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c34,700$22,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,206.661,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No35c31,026$10,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,859.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7507060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No35c19,905$6,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,944.88241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No35c11,896$4,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,163.597342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5009857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No23c8,687$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.1814952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes65c8,358$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.312437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No60c7,019$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,176.8636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No26c6,752$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.5438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Yes65c6,490$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.54228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes65c6,376$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.4520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Yes67c5,499$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.481968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+281%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No35c5,061$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.4329136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes66c5,016$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.925740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.965040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes66c4,537$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.567042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfef2…1470backed Yes65c4,334$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.74333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed No35c3,358$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.364936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No73c3,148$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.7217466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No11c2,646$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No14c2,622$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.012927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes65c2,278$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.1530657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.731450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No17c2,229$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.054621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes66c2,056$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9514235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No37c1,899$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5138048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c1,728$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.231,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x123a…b038backed Yes79c1,718$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No4c1,708$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.34924.5%12 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+157.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes77c1,686$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.146552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes64c1,668$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.555352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No1c1,664$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.643262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes66c1,629$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.753464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.467451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.46944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.462045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+87.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c1,530$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.488836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c1,376$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.226955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes58c1,342$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.641957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes64c1,309$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.023336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes65c1,308$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.846858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes68c1,123$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7611743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No33c1,090$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes71c1,086$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0414955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes29c1,034$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.4815250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3508848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3503834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes77c983.15$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2610137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No57c979.68$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.442060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No51c943.67$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.641668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes65c918.41$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.418051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.092479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No34c899.96$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9922147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes65c801.54$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.542356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6e…1e63backed No39c769.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+203%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.232528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.235056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23819028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No40c662.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0929142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032a…2b2cbacked Yes65c609.77$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.062653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No42c585.19$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes48c570.89$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.896154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes67c551.37$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.951181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No4c550.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.473619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes65c541.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.73650%18 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes64c538.66$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.9214953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No36c518.25$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18516853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+65.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked No19c499.96$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.992623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed Yes63c479.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes66c468.14$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.171637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5428639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No34c456$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No36c446.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No35c440$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15417426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed No51c435.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.931546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes53c423.46$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.363652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes69c421.36$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.745756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15210543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No34c399.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.994060%24 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.