TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No48c7,147$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.8524657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c3,871$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes26c3,456$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No76c3,034$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.934052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c3,024$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No49c2,600$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.458457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No72c2,446$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.051942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No49c1,594$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.15761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No58c1,381$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.4513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes55c1,372$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes37c1,300$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No48c1,222$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.825848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes39c1,200$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46214254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No73c1,161$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c1,158$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.149149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes51c1,109$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.9348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c939.97$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No73c915.73$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes5c850$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.023330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes50c850$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4258957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c847$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.682,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c822.84$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.289154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No51c776$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2411772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No49c678.43$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3466940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes28c662.54$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.695125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes44c639.59$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes52c578$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.915635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No54c561.9$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2618169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No49c547.93$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.449952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes52c482.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes53c471.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes56c448.85$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes51c441.51$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes36c413.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No50c401.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.612950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.53030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e6b…8115backed Yes51c399.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No70c395.37$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.754459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No50c383.7$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.854245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee7…f032backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No49c371.31$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.375240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes52c369.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.244134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8189…fa33backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d41…fa71backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No48c294.66$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.188558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x663a…75babacked No75c248.81$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c4…2017backed Yes53c246$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No74c245$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes51c233.67$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.175955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No47c228.43$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0712035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes27c221.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.689953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0812565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes50c181.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes55c177.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes45c154.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Yes31c151.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.57424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes52c148.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No60c147$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.964346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes54c137.04$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes49c128$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7212452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed No49c123.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfebd…5c09backed Yes53c122.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ec…d3eebacked Yes51c113.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1700…54d9backed Yes53c112.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x944e…7f73backed Yes54c107.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes48c105.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes51c103.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4741943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes57c101.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf127…ab3ebacked Yes51c101.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c101$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.