Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c19c41da7d3b538e6d3955d056f70123f35de89dc665c05fc0571f6fd46e2d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 36c | 5,015$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 4,975$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 77c | 1,969$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 67c | 1,706$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 1,203$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.23 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 932.6$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.63 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 46c | 820.43$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.9 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…ea25backed Yes | 64c | 578.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 72c | 352$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 69c | 295$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 32c | 217.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 68c | 178.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 33c | 130.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked Yes | 65c | 94.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 77c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 70c | 17.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-27?No won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.