Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3815c151306b3f8001b326b2aec5980288dbe9aa21067a7411b2a6e0a319f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 54c | 2,901$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,395$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 2,127$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,058$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 1,743$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.03 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 21c | 1,242$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 1,212$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 21c | 948.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 32c | 773.51$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 570$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 566.1$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed No | 78c | 511.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 282.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 65c | 255.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 63c | 246.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 240$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 21c | 207.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 21c | 203.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 21c | 203.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 201.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…18cdbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 171.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 79c | 164.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 55c | 156.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 22c | 129$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 127.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…c886backed No | 61c | 125.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed No | 56c | 109.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 60c | 82.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 44c | 80.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 67.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 22c | 51.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…5081backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +358.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 27c | 41.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…e338backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 31.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…f994backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Juventus vs. Atalanta end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.