Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c9b7170a49528e1cf9cc3566836f7f732d6f6349adae26c10cc052da841033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 40c | 26,812$10,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,725 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 60c | 19,205$11,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,681.84 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 21c | 18,486$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 6,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 39c | 5,047$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 15c | 3,680$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.95 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 63c | 2,698$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.43 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 2,695$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.75 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 63c | 2,601$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 2,361$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.54 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 62c | 1,696$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 61c | 1,687$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 37c | 1,453$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.83 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 1,012$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 38c | 665$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Yes | 61c | 664.39$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 22c | 627.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…b200backed Yes | 64c | 531.28$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 61c | 417.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 39c | 399.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 18c | 385$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 39c | 349.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 61c | 346.2$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 62c | 298.42$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 61c | 277.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 61c | 259.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 63c | 238.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 62c | 233$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 39c | 231.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 62c | 198.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 190.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 66c | 187$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 183.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 62c | 148.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…f55abacked Yes | 64c | 140.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 7c | 140$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 63c | 127.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes | 62c | 119.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 64c | 104.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 36c | 100.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 22c | 100.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0281…34e7backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 74c | 97.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…21f5backed Yes | 64c | 93.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…4dc9backed Yes | 64c | 86.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 60c | 82.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 63c | 78.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0683…8689backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 62c | 77.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 61c | 69.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 39c | 64.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d5…1b49backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 61.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…a487backed Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…70fdbacked Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cb…e80cbacked Yes | 62c | 55.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 22c | 50.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 37c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 38c | 47.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…04febacked Yes | 61c | 41.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…66c8backed Yes | 63c | 34.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…3547backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…8a00backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…50ffbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.