Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d17971cfea990442802982408a4fbcf181f550bdad95aed07dd002b00d74dcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 44c | 19,044$8,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,676.09 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 48c | 17,809$8,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,193.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 44c | 10,533$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.95 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 52c | 10,415$5,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.71 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 20c | 10,277$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.95 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 58c | 10,011$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 9,395$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.25 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 55c | 6,636$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.59 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 55c | 5,308$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.54 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.98 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 58c | 3,980$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.21 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…1686backed Yes | 56c | 3,885$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…ff3dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,788$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 21c | 3,600$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.94 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…5e78backed Yes | 56c | 3,590$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 56c | 3,561$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 3,423$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.49 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 56c | 3,111$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.43 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…6781backed Yes | 18c | 2,853$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 2,471$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 44c | 2,156$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.01 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 2,128$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.49 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 57c | 1,739$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 56c | 1,712$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.6 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 57c | 1,682$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 43c | 1,623$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.37 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,617$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.23 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 44c | 1,607$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…c1aabacked Yes | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Yes | 55c | 1,537$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…4a6bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,424$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 56c | 1,363$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…15d0backed No | 45c | 1,275$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ce…1c39backed No | 45c | 1,256$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…c81bbacked No | 43c | 1,245$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…79d3backed No | 45c | 1,214$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…715ebacked No | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…30d6backed No | 46c | 1,187$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 1,012$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.5 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked No | 76c | 975$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 58c | 957.21$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…a558backed Yes | 56c | 919.64$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 837.01$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.53 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed Yes | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 57c | 794.18$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 58c | 762.38$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 17c | 713.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 56c | 711.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 42c | 653.21$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.51 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 49c | 644.93$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…68dcbacked No | 45c | 644.53$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 53c | 563.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 61c | 536.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…67c4backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 29c | 484.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 42c | 465$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 56c | 443.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 43c | 403.42$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 52c | 382.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Yes | 56c | 372.7$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 27c | 372.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes | 56c | 359.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…5124backed Yes | 56c | 355.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 56c | 348.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.27 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…f485backed Yes | 57c | 345.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 32c | 335.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 25c | 332$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 46c | 330$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 288.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 42c | 284$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 56c | 266.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 56c | 264.38$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 44c | 261.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked No | 45c | 255.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed No | 43c | 255.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Yes | 58c | 243.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 56c | 218.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 45c | 204.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.