Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa06e23957d6d80ec0417f6fa48d0ce0f5c504ef6347be611ada1b0e9f51c489

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $69,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,473 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	18c	7,540$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.14	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes	45c	7,057$3,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,186.42	147	32.7%48 W · 99 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No	58c	3,224$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.91	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Yes	16c	3,173$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.63	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No	54c	2,872$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,321.3	146	59.6%87 W · 59 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes	19c	2,632$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes	45c	2,504$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.32	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes	19c	2,341$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	8c	1,897$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	270	24.8%67 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	18c	1,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	57c	1,416$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.81	386	45.3%175 W · 211 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes	18c	1,119$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed No	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5c…7cb9backed Yes	58c	900$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No	42c	898.94$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.38	197	43.7%86 W · 111 L	+32.4wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+142.5%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Yes	16c	889.08$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79f1…a885backed Yes	18c	720$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef2…8a53backed Yes	35c	703.96$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed Yes	46c	700$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	54c	699.99$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes	17c	634$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.2	174	47.7%83 W · 91 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe126…3e96backed Yes	16c	518.75$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes	19c	516.48$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.81	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	52c	500$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	277	52%144 W · 133 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	26c	500$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.93	280	70%196 W · 84 L	+49.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No	80c	491.75$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.35	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes	21c	485.02$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa329…b8ecbacked Yes	20c	423.05$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked Yes	14c	391.78$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes	21c	354.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.55	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	17c	340.48$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed No	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ce…6d96backed Yes	17c	315.07$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.48	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	4c	309.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed No	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a59…dbeabacked Yes	19c	263.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No	59c	259.69$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.47	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No	46c	256.52$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.52	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8c…48d5backed Yes	16c	253.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	21cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed No	57c	249.04$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.09	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Yes	21c	234.14$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc391…8f41backed Yes	16c	218.75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a5…5b4dbacked Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	19c	197.89$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0363…d67abacked Yes	18c	190$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	27%17 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Yes	12c	187.18$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	422	40.3%170 W · 252 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	67c	181.22$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.25	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes	18c	177.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes	17c	177.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	175.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No	43c	172.11$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.1	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes	63c	170.65$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes	17c	164.71$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes	35c	140.47$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.06	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5594…c0b2backed Yes	18c	138.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe019…018bbacked Yes	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes	16c	125.55$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3b…6685backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	18c	121.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	149	45%67 W · 82 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No	58c	120.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes	54c	120.1$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	120	53.3%64 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc28…a26ebacked Yes	46c	115.79$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec7…8c24backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes	13c	110$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	46c	108.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes	19c	105.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x996f…3748backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca83…ba47backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f1…fe6bbacked Yes	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked No	47c	99.99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes	18c	97.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f1…a901backed Yes	18c	94.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No	78c	90.91$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes	18c	90$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a0…97d9backed Yes	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b38…fabbbacked Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…4f82backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x807b…89b7backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes	50c	82.32$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.16	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes	50c	77.74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-8.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes	50c	75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	16c	70$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	157	26.8%42 W · 115 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47b…02f2backed Yes	18c	66.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes	19c	57.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe854…a1bbbacked Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	60cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4b…9ec7backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2c…9b1cbacked Yes	29c	45.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f9…da6bbacked Yes	34c	37.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No	54c	36.27$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee8…c6f5backed Yes	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?this page
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?No won
Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event