TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$979,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$952,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No41c250,000$102,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,557.372853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No42c143,784$60,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,394.679450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes58c80,771$46,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,702.114544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes59c44,131$26,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,037.4718958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No40c43,068$17,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,921.3321154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes62c40,000$24,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,788.531947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes53c33,641$17,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,695.467436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c32,924$19,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,090.616,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes62c21,463$13,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,307.2518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes55c20,056$11,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,004.3627235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No42c18,086$7,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,490.0415949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No44c16,555$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,329.8635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes61c13,148$8,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,019.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes58c12,069$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000.174348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed Yes61c10,989$6,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,729.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes59c9,909$5,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,846.1679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes39c9,889$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,835.397448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes59c9,826$5,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,836.8431655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes62c9,653$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9855646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes58c9,479$5,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.743551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c9,477$3,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,78130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes58c9,447$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5007638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes58c9,257$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,388.353644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes57c9,000$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.999646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes59c8,837$5,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,212.2579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9481…4931backed Yes62c8,500$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,270540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+75.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes46c8,482$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.59825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed No38c8,467$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.967256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.9314450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No66c6,893$4,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.7118259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No38c6,544$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.996149.2%30 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes58c5,747$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.3313834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcfd…d183backed Yes61c5,599$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0504250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes30c4,997$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.736833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes62c4,839$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No42c4,800$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.9756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes35c4,574$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes31c4,258$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No61c4,243$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.211155.9%62 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes32c4,008$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.8717544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes52c4,000$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.7536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c3,937$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.031,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No39c3,830$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.310455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No39c3,600$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfef2…1470backed Yes57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Yes29c3,448$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c3,407$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.071305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No39c3,329$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.758939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No71c3,245$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.5521353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes58c3,140$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8217229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes28c3,130$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.44168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No38c3,008$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.082133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b34…a79abacked Yes58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes31c2,870$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.941344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No43c2,698$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.6610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c09…8264backed Yes62c2,686$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c83…3805backed No38c2,686$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes61c2,653$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc618…bcc2backed Yes58c2,579$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5252138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No43c2,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4359150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes58c2,414$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c2,380$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.81,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5421…f713backed Yes42c2,380$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No40c2,341$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.581553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked No38c2,286$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.111172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes8c2,163$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2525329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No39c2,026$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.642227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No38c1,806$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.6410455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0d…fde8backed Yes44c1,791$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee1c…54debacked No38c1,774$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…60a3backed Yes62c1,774$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No37c1,733$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.5317833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c1,722$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No39c1,714$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.19263%58 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba5…039abacked Yes61c1,695$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes45c1,688$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes33c1,623$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.8532737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Yes63c1,620$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c1,616$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.0951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No72c1,605$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4817745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes59c1,600$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes59c1,588$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes31c1,533$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe467…2f53backed No39c1,518$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb641…ac31backed Yes62c1,518$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes33c1,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes49c1,447$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.425754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes29c1,360$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.66023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.