Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus beat Al Ain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e3322189cc44ced888a8043a5a855d0e05d00e5b732a919278f662f1e1819f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 67c | 13,830$9,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.39 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 33c | 10,787$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.96 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 33c | 7,579$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.36 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 66c | 6,472$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.34 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 79c | 4,252$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.93 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 66c | 4,068$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.06 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 35c | 3,607$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.51 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 34c | 3,031$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,195$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 1,638$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.67 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…e3b5backed Yes | 70c | 1,593$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 68c | 1,310$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 25c | 1,027$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…d816backed Yes | 69c | 786.98$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 71c | 701.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 68c | 681.28$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 12c | 583.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 25c | 316$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…3d6fbacked Yes | 69c | 265.22$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 223.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 27c | 189.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 69c | 161.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 79c | 151.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 68c | 146.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 21c | 142.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 79c | 140.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 26c | 112.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 20c | 99.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 68c | 96.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Yes | 70c | 95.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 29c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 26c | 79.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 80c | 62.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 67c | 59.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Yes | 68c | 55.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 73c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2a…43d5backed Yes | 68c | 45.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…89dcbacked No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…d50abacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 66c | 37.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…1d8cbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…330abacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 79c | 21.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc710…afe5backed Yes | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus beat Al Ain?this page
- Will Al Ain beat Juventus?No won
- Will Al Ain vs. Juventus end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.