Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4ff70673e8d6f76261400c0ffd9d7970bf6d8aec5f8f44b20434e59e3e3141e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,359,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,686,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,359,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 6,009,755$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.25 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -95.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…48c5backed Yes | 0c | 5,170,505$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…1b22backed Yes | 0c | 3,811,427$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad91…3703backed Yes | 0c | 1,852,819$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…884cbacked Yes | 0c | 877,508$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked Yes | 0c | 607,823$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed Yes | 0c | 457,105$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.1 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 393,507$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 388,143$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.95 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…d81fbacked Yes | 0c | 141,889$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 140,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 122,999$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 92,077$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 87,487$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 0c | 79,514$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,341$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 0c | 57,177$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 55,751$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 49,272$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…331cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,341$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…d755backed Yes | 0c | 45,612$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…d87abacked Yes | 0c | 23,720$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 0c | 23,461$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7f27backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…d855backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…ec61backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…4d5dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,525$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Yes | 0c | 18,650$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…7106backed Yes | 0c | 17,454$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…e801backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…a356backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…53bcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…4ad6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 9,844$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…b3dfbacked Yes | 0c | 8,900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…1b60backed Yes | 0c | 8,495$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…13cbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abd…db58backed Yes | 0c | 7,544$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7535…c1e6backed Yes | 0c | 6,997$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…2087backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0660…8709backed Yes | 0c | 5,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 5,558$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…b576backed Yes | 0c | 5,505$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…b98bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,470$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…db7cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…a7f4backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 1c | 1,375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,205$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?this page
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.