TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,340,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,720,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,340,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 7,513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd836…ea78backed Yes51c330,521$167,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,476.363540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes72c312,055$224,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,770.225552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes64c275,710$177,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,275.383537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes53c248,948$131,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,308.0224846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Yes59c176,548$103,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,590.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked No19c166,505$31,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,276.983237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed Yes70c164,014$114,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,853.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes71c144,603$102,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,045.342927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4103…a4e7backed Yes57c138,871$78,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,040.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes70c126,143$87,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,234.6120750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Yes67c116,048$78,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,021.231330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21da…db76backed Yes35c115,707$40,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,356.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes63c101,253$64,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,080.652250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No42c83,830$35,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,525.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a1…f032backed Yes58c80,239$46,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,539.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes63c80,074$50,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,630.425848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes49c76,822$37,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,470.2879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf290…dcf1backed Yes72c72,111$51,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,113.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes48c70,848$34,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,788.743053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…d434backed No36c70,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,199.920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes55c67,850$36,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,869.072941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a88…b859backed Yes74c60,915$45,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,873.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3537…56eabacked Yes39c58,872$23,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,809.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1223…d424backed Yes65c56,914$37,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,899.48580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd71e…79a1backed Yes45c55,086$24,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,114.97520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes57c51,566$29,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,075.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No43c49,048$21,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,029.583119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No15c43,895$6,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,507.751414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f86…9147backed No33c42,913$14,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,154.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No25c42,528$10,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,612.8513832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes64c40,909$25,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,919.5616651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No20c40,469$8,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,013.366346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f33…2233backed Yes28c40,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,799.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1686…c3f9backed Yes37c39,482$14,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,847.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No11c39,113$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-65.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes59c38,723$22,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,759.084841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x739d…cf47backed No30c37,544$11,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,361.28616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes43c37,000$15,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,0902040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes66c36,000$23,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,203.999256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes70c31,876$22,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,426.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4d…912bbacked No25c31,209$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,890.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No39c30,313$11,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,696.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b07…934abacked No23c30,306$6,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,97010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked No24c29,867$7,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,041.471747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed No14c29,843$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes72c28,667$20,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,015.166939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…c632backed Yes57c27,637$15,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,883.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x307b…709fbacked No48c27,058$12,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,991.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba7…fbaabacked Yes38c26,562$9,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,576.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+50.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked Yes48c25,814$12,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,307.495349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c95…bf21backed Yes59c25,581$15,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,488.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…3c88backed No40c25,000$9,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,986.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No24c23,835$5,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,701.2935652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No16c23,750$3,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9056150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a0…5708backed Yes79c23,030$18,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,829.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No17c22,787$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,964.519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ee…67b5backed No47c22,753$10,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,646.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes62c22,667$14,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,514.387755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…e4edbacked No11c22,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No46c21,939$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.042646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes55c21,621$11,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,686.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa77…563bbacked Yes55c21,113$11,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,411.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes46c20,251$9,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,973.063844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes41c20,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,799.996350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes62c19,735$12,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,549.7916537%61 W · 104 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…bff1backed Yes60c19,512$11,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed No13c18,592$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.681752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Yes43c18,028$7,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,216.871050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes68c17,785$12,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,687.23250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes70c17,469$12,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,217.7830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes67c17,000$11,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,681.15641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes61c16,972$10,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,606.551020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No43c16,969$7,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,252.63040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No54c16,888$9,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,167.271540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No15c16,415$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.043066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes74c16,218$11,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,267.692556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes74c15,964$11,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.947847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes70c15,660$10,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.011241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ee…ae61backed No13c15,218$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick30cpaid+99%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes66c15,142$10,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,074.8110636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes56c15,043$8,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,688.231931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick20cpaid-27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No65c14,897$9,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,683.094153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x449f…021cbacked Yes68c13,971$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,470.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No42c13,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,52011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes79c12,764$10,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.373842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe71a…66ebbacked No33c12,700$4,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,19110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4c…8419backed Yes67c12,700$8,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes73c12,666$9,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,395.2656241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes27c12,525$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,143.269917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba4…f00fbacked No44c12,239$5,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,37110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd8…557abacked Yes61c12,148$7,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,706.792437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Yes41c11,896$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,018.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes77c11,644$8,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.853938.5%15 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes80c11,145$8,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.532842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes77c11,129$8,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.872540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Yes27c11,114$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1131100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Yes72c11,111$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21af…7186backed No26c11,000$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2c…5341backed Yes76c11,000$8,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.